Tornado Watch Remains in Effect for Wichita Area and Parts of Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas

A tornado watch remained in effect into late Tuesday evening for parts of Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas, with federal forecasters highlighting a continued severe weather threat over several Kansas counties including Sedgwick County, home to Wichita.

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center, which oversees watch areas nationwide, issued Tornado Watch 110 at 3:20 p.m. CDT Tuesday (2020 UTC). The watch was in force “this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 1100 PM CDT,” according to the official bulletin.

The watch covered portions of south-central and southeast Kansas, western, central and northern Oklahoma, and western north Texas. In Kansas, the county list included Allen, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood, Harper, Harvey, Labette, Marion, Montgomery, Neosho, Sedgwick, Sumner, Wilson and Woodson counties.

For people in and around Wichita and the rest of south-central Kansas, the key message was that conditions were favorable for dangerous storms through the evening hours. The SPC bulletin warned of “a few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible,” along with “scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter likely” and “scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible.” The watch issuance was signed by SPC forecaster Gleason.

A tornado watch means the atmosphere is primed for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms, not that one is happening at a specific location. It covers a broad region for several hours. Local National Weather Service weather forecast offices, including the office in Wichita, are responsible for issuing tornado warnings when a tornado is imminent or occurring, based on radar data or confirmed reports.

Through the evening, the SPC refined where the greatest danger was within the large watch area by issuing a series of status reports. These “watch status” messages are aimed at local forecast offices and emergency managers, summarizing which part of the watch still faces the highest risk and how long that risk is expected to last.

Status Report No. 3 for Watch 110, valid from 9:25 to 10:40 p.m. CDT Tuesday (0225 to 0340 UTC Wednesday), underscored that the threat had narrowed but not disappeared for south-central Kansas. The report stated in all capital letters that the “SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE EMP TO 45 NNE PNC TO 30 S ICT TO 35 WSW ICT.” In Kansas, it specifically highlighted Butler, Chase, Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Marion, Sedgwick and Sumner counties as remaining under the watch-related threat. SPC forecaster Thompson signed the status report.

For residents, that language means that as Tuesday evening wore on, the corridor of concern shifted and concentrated but still included Wichita and surrounding communities. A county can be inside a tornado watch even if storms are not yet overhead; the status reports help local offices decide when to trim counties out of a watch as the danger passes.

The SPC also issued mesoscale discussions — short technical updates on ongoing storms — that explicitly tied evolving conditions back to Tornado Watch 110. Mesoscale Discussion 428, released at 5:29 p.m. CDT (2229 UTC), said “The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 110 continues,” and outlined a focused hail and wind threat from northwest Texas into southwest Oklahoma. It listed the “most probable peak tornado intensity... up to 95 mph” and “most probable peak hail size... 2.00-3.50 in.”

Later, at 7:53 p.m. CDT (0053 UTC), Mesoscale Discussion 435 again noted that “The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 110 continues,” adjusting expectations as storms evolved. That discussion indicated a “most probable peak tornado intensity... 85-115 mph.”

Even as these national-level products shaped the broader risk picture, the SPC stressed that they are not the last word on who is in or out of a watch. Each watch and status product carried the disclaimer: “THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.” Watch County Notification Statements come from local NWS offices, which can add or remove specific counties as storms shift.

The elevated concern over south-central Kansas on Tuesday came after storms had already produced several tornadoes elsewhere in the state within the previous 24 hours, according to preliminary reports compiled by the SPC. Those reports included a tornado “3 ENE Pomona” in Franklin County at 12:15 a.m. CDT Tuesday (“0015 3 ENE Pomona Franklin KS ... Spotter confirmed ... debris”), another “1 N Ottawa” in Franklin County at 12:38 a.m. CDT (“0038 1 N Ottawa Franklin KS ... observed moving east”), and a tornado near Quenemo in Osage County at 12:07 a.m. CDT (“0007 Quenemo Osage KS ... a tornado ... was on the ground approximately two minutes”).

The SPC notes that such storm reports are preliminary. Final details on tornado paths, strength ratings, injuries or fatalities, and damage totals are determined later by local National Weather Service offices and entered into the National Centers for Environmental Information Storm Events database after field surveys are completed.

For those in Sedgwick County and neighboring Kansas counties, the practical takeaway from Tornado Watch 110 and its late-evening updates was straightforward: conditions were ripe for a few potentially strong tornadoes, very large hail and damaging winds, and people were urged to stay alert for local tornado warnings that would signal immediate danger.

Tags: #weather, #tornado, #kansas, #severeweather