Indian Corporations Seize Record $4.5 Billion in April Bond Boom
In the first week of April 2025, Indian corporations raised approximately $4.5 billion through bond sales, marking an unprecedented borrowing spree at the onset of the fiscal year. This surge is primarily driven by a significant decline in bond yields, with AAA-rated short-term bonds dropping by 25-30 basis points and long-term bonds by 20-25 basis points. The favorable market conditions have prompted companies to expedite their borrowing plans to capitalize on lower financing costs.
Over 15 companies participated in this borrowing spree, with non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) predominantly issuing shorter-term bonds. State-run entities also took advantage of the favorable market to secure longer-term debt at yields potentially below 7%. Notably, more than $2 billion in planned issuance was scheduled for a single day, highlighting the intensity of this borrowing activity.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has played a pivotal role in creating this conducive borrowing environment through a series of liquidity-boosting measures. In January 2025, the RBI announced Open Market Operations (OMO) purchase auctions totaling ₹60,000 crore in three tranches of ₹20,000 crore each, conducted on January 30, February 13, and February 20. Additionally, a 56-day Variable Rate Repo (VRR) auction for ₹50,000 crore was held on February 7, 2025, aimed at providing longer-term liquidity to the banking system. Furthermore, the RBI conducted a USD/INR Buy/Sell Swap auction of $5 billion for a six-month tenor on January 31, 2025, to manage liquidity and stabilize the currency. These measures have collectively injected over ₹1.5 lakh crore into the banking system, addressing liquidity shortfalls and facilitating lower borrowing costs.
Market participants anticipate further monetary easing by the RBI, with expectations of an additional 75 basis points in rate cuts following a 25 basis point reduction in February 2025. This outlook has heightened investor appetite for bonds amid stock market uncertainties. Additionally, India's overnight indexed swap (OIS) rates have declined over three consecutive sessions, signaling market expectations that the RBI may deliver more than the anticipated 25-basis point rate cut in its upcoming policy decision. This trend reflects concerns about a potential slowdown in economic growth, especially after the U.S. imposed tariffs on India.
The surge in corporate bond issuance indicates a strategic shift among Indian companies to leverage favorable borrowing conditions, potentially leading to increased capital expenditure and economic growth. However, the rapid accumulation of corporate debt warrants careful monitoring to prevent potential financial instability.
For investors, the declining yields and expectations of further rate cuts present opportunities for bond investments, though they should remain cautious of market volatility influenced by global trade tensions and domestic economic policies.
As the fiscal year progresses, the interplay between corporate borrowing strategies, RBI policies, and global economic developments will continue to shape India's financial landscape.
Sources
- Fall in yields triggers rare $4.5 billion debt issue from Indian firms at fiscal year onset
- RBI announces measures to manage liquidity conditions - The Economic Times
- RBI announces steps to inject Rs 1.5L crore liquidity - The Times of India
- India swap markets signal RBI could do more than just a 25-bp rate cut this week