Economy

Economy

Macroeconomic trends, interest rates, inflation, jobs, central bank policy, and the effects of fiscal policy.

economy

Euro-Area Inflation Falls Below ECB Target, but Rate Cuts Remain on Hold

Euro-area inflation dipped to 1.7% in January, below the ECB’s 2% target. Officials held rates at 2% as energy prices fell and gaps widened.

#eurozone, #inflation, #ecb, #interestrates, #eurostat

economy

U.S. Firms Announce 108,000 January Job Cuts as Hiring Plans Hit Record Low

Planned layoffs jumped to 108,435 in January, led by transportation, tech and health care, while intended hires fell to a record low, Challenger reports.

#layoffs, #jobs, #ups, #amazon, #interestrates

economy

Banxico Pauses Rate Cuts at 7%, Citing New Taxes and Tariffs That Could Delay Inflation Target to 2027

Mexico’s central bank held its benchmark rate at 7%, ending 12 cuts, and warned new excise taxes and import tariffs may push inflation back to target by 2027.

#mexico, #banxico, #interestrates, #inflation, #tariffs

economy

Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% in knife-edge vote, signals cuts likely ahead

BoE keeps Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 5-4 vote, but shifts dovish as inflation cools and growth slows, lifting bets on spring rate cuts.

#bankofengland, #interestrates, #inflation, #ukeconomy, #gilts

economy

China’s clean-energy boom carried 2025 growth as property slump deepened, analysis finds

New research estimates clean energy made up 11.4% of China’s GDP in 2025 and drove 37% of growth, offsetting a sharp real-estate downturn.

#china, #cleanenergy, #electricvehicles, #solarpower, #tradewar

economy

Euro Area Inflation Gauge Gets a Makeover as ECB Watches the Numbers

Eurostat rolls out a new rulebook for the HICP inflation index, adding gambling and updating spending categories—while keeping headline rates largely unchanged.

#eurozone, #inflation, #ecb, #eurostat, #hicp

economy

RBA Raises Rates to 3.85% as Inflation Reignites, Ending Australia’s 2025 Easing Cycle

Australia’s central bank lifts rates for the first time in two years, citing re-accelerating inflation, strong demand and housing pressures.

#australia, #interestrates, #inflation, #rba, #mortgages

economy

U.S. job growth slows to post-pandemic low even as layoffs remain near record lows

Hiring cooled sharply in 2025 while unemployment claims stayed low, creating a “low-hire, low-fire” job market that’s squeezing mobility.

#jobsreport, #unemployment, #federalreserve, #wages, #labormarket

economy

Fed Holds Rates at 3.5%–3.75% as Dissents, Trump Pressure Test Central Bank Independence

The Fed paused rate cuts in a 10-2 vote, citing resilient growth and elevated inflation, as Trump pressure and legal fights sharpen scrutiny of its independence.

#federalreserve, #interestrates, #inflation, #centralbank, #trump

economy

Australia Inflation Surprise Revives Rate-Hike Bets, Lifts Aussie Dollar

Inflation rose to 3.8% in December, above forecasts, pushing markets to price a possible RBA rate hike in February and sending the Australian dollar higher.

#australia, #inflation, #rba, #interestrates, #audusd

economy

ECB Quietly Rewrites Rules for Crisis Liquidity, Collateral and Climate Risk

New ECB guidelines reshape who can borrow in a resolution, tighten post-pandemic collateral rules, add climate haircuts and admit DLT-linked securities.

#ecb, #eurozone, #banking, #collateral, #climaterisk

economy

Japan’s Bond Yields Hit 25-Year High as BOJ Signals Caution and PM Calls Snap Election

Japan’s 10-year bond yield hits a 25-year high as the BOJ warns of rapid moves and new PM Sanae Takaichi seeks a mandate for tax cuts.

#japan, #bonds, #bankofjapan, #interestrates, #election

economy

Japan Bond Yields Hit 25-Year High as BOJ Warns on Volatility and PM Takaichi Calls Snap Election

Japan’s 10-year yield nears 2.3% as the BOJ flags rapid moves while PM Takaichi seeks a Feb. 8 mandate for tax cuts and spending.

#japan, #boj, #bonds, #interestrates, #election

economy

U.S. GDP Surges at 4.4% Pace as Hiring Slows, Raising Fears of a ‘Jobless Boom’

Third-quarter growth was revised up to 4.4% and profits rebounded, but 2025 job gains slowed sharply and long-term unemployment rose.

#gdp, #jobs, #federalreserve, #inflation, #automation

economy

China Reports 5% Growth in 2025, Meeting Target as Exports Mask Weak Consumption and Property Slump

China says GDP grew 5% in 2025, meeting its goal, but growth leaned on exports as consumption stayed weak, property sank and surplus hit records.

#china, #gdp, #exports, #property, #trade