Economy

Economy

Macroeconomic trends, interest rates, inflation, jobs, central bank policy, and the effects of fiscal policy.

economy

Banxico Pauses Rate Cuts at 7%, Citing New Taxes and Tariffs That Could Delay Inflation Target to 2027

Mexico’s central bank held its benchmark rate at 7%, ending 12 cuts, and warned new excise taxes and import tariffs may push inflation back to target by 2027.

#mexico, #banxico, #interestrates, #inflation, #tariffs

economy

Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% in knife-edge vote, signals cuts likely ahead

BoE keeps Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 5-4 vote, but shifts dovish as inflation cools and growth slows, lifting bets on spring rate cuts.

#bankofengland, #interestrates, #inflation, #ukeconomy, #gilts

economy

China’s clean-energy boom carried 2025 growth as property slump deepened, analysis finds

New research estimates clean energy made up 11.4% of China’s GDP in 2025 and drove 37% of growth, offsetting a sharp real-estate downturn.

#china, #cleanenergy, #electricvehicles, #solarpower, #tradewar

economy

Euro Area Inflation Gauge Gets a Makeover as ECB Watches the Numbers

Eurostat rolls out a new rulebook for the HICP inflation index, adding gambling and updating spending categories—while keeping headline rates largely unchanged.

#eurozone, #inflation, #ecb, #eurostat, #hicp

economy

RBA Raises Rates to 3.85% as Inflation Reignites, Ending Australia’s 2025 Easing Cycle

Australia’s central bank lifts rates for the first time in two years, citing re-accelerating inflation, strong demand and housing pressures.

#australia, #interestrates, #inflation, #rba, #mortgages

economy

U.S. job growth slows to post-pandemic low even as layoffs remain near record lows

Hiring cooled sharply in 2025 while unemployment claims stayed low, creating a “low-hire, low-fire” job market that’s squeezing mobility.

#jobsreport, #unemployment, #federalreserve, #wages, #labormarket

economy

Fed Holds Rates at 3.5%–3.75% as Dissents, Trump Pressure Test Central Bank Independence

The Fed paused rate cuts in a 10-2 vote, citing resilient growth and elevated inflation, as Trump pressure and legal fights sharpen scrutiny of its independence.

#federalreserve, #interestrates, #inflation, #centralbank, #trump

economy

Australia Inflation Surprise Revives Rate-Hike Bets, Lifts Aussie Dollar

Inflation rose to 3.8% in December, above forecasts, pushing markets to price a possible RBA rate hike in February and sending the Australian dollar higher.

#australia, #inflation, #rba, #interestrates, #audusd

economy

ECB Quietly Rewrites Rules for Crisis Liquidity, Collateral and Climate Risk

New ECB guidelines reshape who can borrow in a resolution, tighten post-pandemic collateral rules, add climate haircuts and admit DLT-linked securities.

#ecb, #eurozone, #banking, #collateral, #climaterisk

economy

Japan’s Bond Yields Hit 25-Year High as BOJ Signals Caution and PM Calls Snap Election

Japan’s 10-year bond yield hits a 25-year high as the BOJ warns of rapid moves and new PM Sanae Takaichi seeks a mandate for tax cuts.

#japan, #bonds, #bankofjapan, #interestrates, #election

economy

Japan Bond Yields Hit 25-Year High as BOJ Warns on Volatility and PM Takaichi Calls Snap Election

Japan’s 10-year yield nears 2.3% as the BOJ flags rapid moves while PM Takaichi seeks a Feb. 8 mandate for tax cuts and spending.

#japan, #boj, #bonds, #interestrates, #election

economy

U.S. GDP Surges at 4.4% Pace as Hiring Slows, Raising Fears of a ‘Jobless Boom’

Third-quarter growth was revised up to 4.4% and profits rebounded, but 2025 job gains slowed sharply and long-term unemployment rose.

#gdp, #jobs, #federalreserve, #inflation, #automation

economy

China Reports 5% Growth in 2025, Meeting Target as Exports Mask Weak Consumption and Property Slump

China says GDP grew 5% in 2025, meeting its goal, but growth leaned on exports as consumption stayed weak, property sank and surplus hit records.

#china, #gdp, #exports, #property, #trade

economy

Powell Says Subpoena Threat Targets Fed Independence; Markets Jolt as Gold Hits Record

Fed Chair Jerome Powell says a DOJ probe over a $2.5B HQ renovation is a pretext to pressure rate cuts, shaking markets and the dollar.

#federalreserve, #interestrates, #dollar, #gold, #justicedepartment

economy

IMF lifts global growth outlook as AI boom offsets trade and debt risks

IMF nudges up 2026 global growth forecast to 3.3%, citing AI-led investment, but warns of tariff uncertainty, market bubbles and record debt.

#imf, #globaleconomy, #artificialintelligence, #trade, #debt